Posts Categorized: Bill Holter

Posted by & filed under Bill Holter.

I thank so many for writing in and asking how I am doing after hip replacement. Rather than continuing to respond to individual questions I figure much easier to post for all. I had surgery 3 weeks ago yesterday and was able to walk (gingerly) the following day. I walked the treadmill 1/2 mile on my 4th day and it felt like a marathon. Yesterday walked 2.5 miles, biked 4 miles, did 50 squats with 100lbs along with multiple other upper body weightlifting. I am a little sore today but I feel great and will not push my body more than it tells me is OK. I have slept better in the last three weeks than any time in the last 5 years. Great to have my wheels back! Again, thank you everyone for your notes of care and encouragement!


P.S. I now am up to 20 pieces of metal and three plastic parts holding me together. If I ever split open there will be springs, screws and other weird looking parts strewn about!

Posted by & filed under Bill Holter.

China recently announced they will trade oil for yuan “backed” by gold. The story has gotten some press (none of it mainstream mind you), and many have questions as to what it really means. While quite complicated as a whole, when you break this down into pieces I believe it is a quite simple and logical end to Bretton Woods.

For a background, China has had an exchange open for about a year where gold can be purchased with yuan, though the volumes so far have been miniscule to this point. China has also been all over the world inking trade deals (in yuan) and investing in all sorts of resources from oil to gold to grains, they have made no secret about this. With the most recent example here. They have trade arrangements and treaties with Russia, Iran and many other non Western nations. They have also “courted” many Western nations privately (remember their meeting with the King of Saudi Arabia?) and actually lured many with their “Silk Road” plans via the AIIB which was huge news last year (but nearly forgotten by Americans at this point?). We also know China has been a huge importer of gold for the last 4-5 years and done so publicly via Shanghai receipts and deliveries.

So what exactly does “oil for yuan” mean? In my opinion, China is basically leading a “mutiny FOR the bounty” (we’ll explain this shortly). The only things holding the dollar up from outright death for many years has been the oil trade (and other trade commerce) between nations and settled in dollars. Anyone wanting to buy oil had to first buy dollars in order to pay for the trade. Anyone getting out of step and suggesting they would accept currency other than dollars was dealt with swiftly and harshly (think Saddam and Mohamar). In other words, the U.S. military “enforced” the deal Henry Kissinger made with the Middle East (lead by Saudi Arabia) where ALL oil was settled in dollars. International trade settlement alone supported the dollar after the Nixon administration defaulted on its promise to exchange one ounce of gold for $35.

China is now suggesting THEY will be the ones to trade oil and not use the dollar for settlement. Instead, settlement will be in yuan. But why now? I believe for one of two reasons or more likely both. First, and as we have recently spoken about, it very well may be that the US. military technology has been cracked or leap frogged. It is looking like a distinct possibility and if so, China/Russia now have less fear of U.S. military “retribution”.

The other possibility pertains to gold. We have no way of knowing whether or not the “bottom of the barrel” as far as gold reserves is in sight but we can have a pretty good idea. Physical demand for gold has exceeded mine supply by some 1,500 tons for the last 20 years, “Scrap” supply can not have made up the shortfall. The only place the gold to supply for delivery can have come from are Western (think Ft. Knox) vaults. If the Chinese know their “supplier” of gold is at or near zero, this could also explain “why now”. My bet is both, military technology AND lack of gold supply are at work here.

The next question is this, does China want to become the world’s reserve currency? I do no think so as they have seen economies of the issuers of the reserve currency destroyed time after time throughout history. Rather, China wants to lead the parade away from the dollar or at least steer it. Whether via a larger slice of the SDR pie, or another as yet to be introduced currency I do not know.

What we do know: the U.S. is broke and very likely nearly out of gold. The U.S. has “led” the world with an iron fist and trampled many in its wake …pissing off nations all the while over the last 20+ years in particular. China knows this and also knows the rest of the world will follow them just as school kids will follow the one who stands up to the school bully. Besides, on the surface it certainly looks like better (more fair) trade and settlement terms for anyone who goes along.

Wrapping this up, we need to know “what” all this means? Most importantly it means the world will have an alternative to settling in dollars …which means less overall demand for dollars. This alone will weaken the dollar much further than the huge move we have already seen. A weaker dollar will mean much higher prices (inflation) for the imported goods we no longer manufacture at home. There is a bigger problem here that few are thinking of yet. How will the U.S. settle trade if the dollar becomes so weak it becomes shunned …AND we have no gold for international settlement left? This is a very serious question and one pertaining directly to the standard of living for Americans.

Answering the question as to the meaning of “mutiny for the bounty”, this is simple. You can think of “bounty” as “prosperity” if you will. Prosperity in today’s world means you produce goods and trade, trade, trade! By and large I believe the world wants peace and prosperity …which go hand in hand and are not mutually exclusive. If the world is offered a “more fair” way to settle trade, will they go for it? You bet! Especially if they are offered “cover” or protection from the U.S. military …for trading in a currency they deem more fair than dollars!

So it seems to me, China is leading a world that is ready to follow in a direction away from dollars. As for gold, it will explode in price in terms of a weakening dollar but there is potentially more. China without ANY DOUBT is THE largest holder of gold on the planet. It is for this reason China now has the ability to “price” gold wherever they want to. In other words, China can mark the price of gold to the moon which will do several things. It will make them the wealthiest nation on the planet while at the same time making it extremely expensive and difficult for anyone to catch up by amassing their own gold horde.

As to the yuan becoming gold backed, I doubt it in reality. I highly doubt they will ever “exchange” their current gold horde. It is more likely they will only exchange further gold accumulated from this point forward but that is a story for another day.

We have speculated for several years that China might try to supplant the dollar. It now makes sense and one would have to wonder why they wouldn’t lead the mutiny if they were to become the new captain?

Standing watch,

Bill Holter

Holter=Sinclair collaboration

Posted by & filed under Bill Holter.

10,000 contracts (50 million ounces) in two minutes is what took silver from positive to negative.
And 20,705 contracts (2,075,000 ounces) in gold in 1 minute is what flash crashed the metals. Something must be on fire behind the scenes, no one would sell metal like this on the cusp of a breakout…unless they did not want it to break out?


Posted by & filed under Bill Holter.

Our dear extended family,

Bill has come out of the successful operation. He wishes to thank all those that sent their best wishes and sincere prayers.



Posted by & filed under Bill Holter.

Kathryn and I are returned from our recent trip, my surgery will be Monday at O:dark early. For the first time in years I went several 24 hour periods staying off the internet and two 48 hour stints …without the slightest withdrawal symptoms. Rest assured your e-mails with comments and questions were all read, but few if any were answered as I needed some down time. Many have sent well wishes and prayers, I appreciate the well wishes and welcome ALL prayers!

Our weekly recording for subscribers will be done over the weekend and posted as will one premium article prior to Monday. Next week’s commentary will depend on the speed of recovery and clarity of thought during the recovery.

The most blatant stupidity while we were away has to be the attempt to erase …and rewrite American history. While they are at it, why not “erase” the value of those pieces of paper with the evil slave owning dead presidents on them? This will happen with or without seditious help. If you cannot see this as a coup attempt, please awaken. One topic for this weekend’s work.


Posted by & filed under Bill Holter.

After listening to Jim’s 3 part autobiography, please send your questions regarding Jim’s life experiences to  These questions will be this weekend’s topic.  Nothing is off limits …unless Jim decides to take the fifth!