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Bill Holter’s Commentary

More good stuff from Erik.

We Are All In This—But Not Together (Political Economics)_001

We Are All In This—But Not Together (Political Economics)_002

Bill Holter’s Commentary

Yes, “just in case”?

After Gold & Oil Contract Chaos, CME Group Secures $7 Billion Credit Line “In Case Of COMEX Member Default”
May 1, 2020

Something unusual is happening in the gold market.

First we had unprecedented dysfunction in the gold futures markets with dramatic paper and physical price divergences amid virus-inspired geographical shortages for deliverables.

“I’ve never seen that before,” said one gold trader who has been in the market for 30-plus years.

Saxo Bank’s head of commodity strategy, Ole Hansen, observed that a lockdown is occurring in two biggest gold hubs in the world, New York and London, so many traders are working from home. “This has caused a breakdown in the marketplace”, he said.

“There is no price discovery in the market right now,” he said Tuesday morning. “If you need to borrow gold in the OTC [over-the-counter] markets right now, you are going to pay a king’s ransom.”

Then we had the even more stunning negative prices for front-month WTI crude futures as prices converged to negative spot prices at expiration/delivery, thanks to a lack of storage and ETF-driven illiquidity issues. This sparked major losses for some very large market brokerages and clearing houses, among them, Interactive Brokers:

CNBC: “Across the industry, do you think there is going to be some really serious pain?”

Peterffy: “There is about another half a billion dollars of losses that somebody is sitting on… and I do not know who those folks are.”

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