The Great Rotation

Posted at 12:42 PM (CST) by & filed under General Editorial.

Dear CIGAs,

The "Accelator Law of Economics" is if an economy is not accelerating at an accelerating rate, that economy is really decelerating. This is the case in the entire Western World.

The Administration is sending Summers to the rescue, and it is inflationary.

The "Great Rotation" mentioned here is what we know will be the "Great Leveling."

Gold will trade at and above $3500.

BofA: If The American Economy Doesn’t Accelerate Soon, It NEVER Will
Matthew Boesler Sep. 13, 2013, 9:20 AM

BofA Merrill Lynch chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett – the one who coined the term "Great Rotation" – takes a gloomy view of the future in his latest note to clients:

The Next 5 Years: Curb Your Enthusiasm

Significant monetary stimulus, the end of fiscal austerity, a booming housing market, a cheap dollar, record corporate cash balances…if the US economy does not significantly accelerate in coming quarters, it never will. We assume it will, and favor assets (e.g. equities), sectors (e.g. banks) and markets (e.g. Europe) that have lagged in the “High Liquidity-Low Growth” world of recent years.

Asset price will not do as well in the next 5 years, no matter what the “nouveau bulls” say. Central banks will be less generous, corporations less selfish. And when excess liquidity is removed it will get “CRASHy”. The dollar and (temporarily) volatility will be the last assets to surge as Deleveraging ends and an era of Normalization begins.

In short, don’t expect stocks to go on an awesome tear over the next few years as they have in the past few years, beware of a market crash, and watch developments in the U.S. economy closely.