The Only Thing You Can Count On

Posted at 11:20 AM (CST) by & filed under

From Greg Hunter’s

Dear CIGAs,

Last week, in testimony on Capitol Hill, Fed Chief Ben Bernanke said, “The pace of the economic recovery will pick up.”  As far as the weak economy is concerned, Mr. Bernanke also said there would be, “a notably better performance than we have seen so far this year.”  I could not believe what I was hearing.  It was totally opposite to other economic news that came out in the very same week.  For example, unemployment claims stayed above 400,000 for the 14th straight week!   I do not see how that trend is going to reverse itself anytime soon with the anemic job growth in the economy.

Another big economic downer came from RealtyTrac.  Even though the happy headline splattered all over the mainstream media was similar to what CNN posted, “Foreclosures plunge in first half of 2011,” the real story was buried.  CNN went on to say, “RealtyTrac’s CEO, James Saccacio, sounded a sour note, however, contending that the drop-off in filings can be traced not to economic improvement or a pick-up in the housing market, but to processing delays . . . ‘[That’s what is] pushing foreclosures further and further out — we estimate that as many as 1 million foreclosure actions that should have taken place in 2011 will now happen in 2012, or perhaps even later,’ Saccacio said.” (Click here for the complete CNN story.)  How do you put out a headline that misses the point of your own story by that much?  I guess CNN has the same problem Mr. Bernanke has–grasping reality.  The expert quoted in the CNN story said the housing market may not recover until “2016”!  (And you thought I was bearish.)  

Can we count on Mr. Bernanke when he says the “recovery will pick up”?   Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner recently stated just the opposite.  He said, “I think for a lot of people it’s going to be – it’s going to feel very hard, harder than anything they’ve experienced in their lifetime now, for some time to come.”  Based on many wrong market calls and current economic facts, I say we cannot count on a recovery for most Americans, at least not anytime soon.