To recover this heritage of peace, people try many methods – accumulation of riches, maintenance of good health, mastery of knowledge, cultivation of arts, etc. All these are not fundamental. Three basic needs remain even after all these methods are exhausted – the need for Truth, Light and for Immortality. It is only when these are won that Peace will be permanently established.
–SSB, Jul 22, 1958.
The monetary managers are fond of telling us that they have substituted ‘responsible money management’ for the gold standard. But there is no historic record of responsible paper money management … The record taken as a whole is one of hyperinflation, devaluation and monetary chaos.
–Henry Hazlitt
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
Yes, let’s stop the QE and watch the largest black hole in space replace the Western world financial system.
U.S. Housing Starts Sink 16.5% On Multifamily Drop
Published May 16, 2013/Dow Jones Newswires
Construction of new homes sank last month, a sign of weakness for a part of the economy that has been in recovery mode.
Overall housing starts fell 16.5% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 853,000, the Commerce Department said Thursday. The figures were the weakest since November.
Single-family homes fell 2.1%, the second-straight monthly decline. Multifamily homes with at least five units, a volatile component of the data, plunged 37.8%.
The report was far worse than expected. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast housing starts would fall 6.4% to a rate of 970,000. March’s figures were revised downward to a rate of 1.02 million from an originally reported 1.04 million.
Meanwhile, the number of new building permits, an indication of future construction, rose 14.3% to an annualized rate of 1.02 million in April. That reading was above the estimates of economists, who had forecast that permits would increase 2.5% to a rate of 930,000.
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
People get angry with me when I say all is lost, and it is too late.
Sorry, but all is lost, and it is too late. Stay in the system and be happy, and watch what happens to you.
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
This is me after reading my email yesterday and today. I am not sure who are more threatening.
The Pro-gold people?
The Anti-gold people?
The Free-Gold people?
The Alligator with the egg hat on?
The gold bank hired bashers who can’t find their way out of the egg?
The independent @Yahoo bashers who just hate for fun?
The gold banks yelling at me that they will show us who is Bo, I mean boss.
The real Boss?
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
This impartial organization made up of the OTC derivative swap manufacturers and distributors better hurry before the Western world is bailed in.
New CDS trigger event proposed to tackle bail-in
15 May 2013 | By Christopher Whittall
ISDA is consulting on a proposal to add another credit event for financial credit default swaps in order to adapt to sweeping changes in regulation that will give supervisory authorities the power to bail-in the debt of floundering institutions.
The proposal forms part of a wider overhaul of the CDS definitions, which are being revisited for the first time in a decade to fix a number of flaws in the instruments, including the way they react to sovereign debt restructurings such as that of Greece.
Along with sovereign CDS, amending financial CDS to account for the new bail-in regime is seen as a top priority in overhauling the contract to ensure it remains a viable hedging product.
“The background regime for credit instruments is changing at the moment with the introduction of recovery and resolution regimes enabling regulatory authorities to write down bank debt to avoid bankruptcies,” Mark New, assistant general counsel at the International Swaps and Derivatives Association in Washington, told IFR.
“This proposal introduces a new credit event for financials to address this new regime, by CDS triggering on a bail-in type event.”
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
In the new normal the saying is "As goes Wal Mart, so goes America."
Wal-Mart profit misses Street as U.S. sales weak
Thu May 16, 2013 7:39am EDT
(Reuters) – Wal-Mart Stores Inc’s (WMT.N) quarterly profit just missed Wall Street expectations on Thursday, with sales down 1.4 percent at its Walmart U.S. stores open at least a year.
The world’s largest retailer said U.S. sales suffered from a delay in income tax refund checks, cool weather, less grocery inflation than expected, and the payroll tax increase.
Shares of Wal-Mart fell 2.3 percent in premarket trading to $78. The stock had hit a new high of $79.96 on Wednesday.
Wal-Mart earned $3.78 billion, or $1.14 per share, in the first quarter ended on April 30, up from $3.74 billion, or $1.09 per share, a year earlier.
The analysts’ average forecast was $1.15 per share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. In February, Wal-Mart had forecast a profit of $1.11 to $1.16 per share.
First-quarter revenue rose 1 percent to $114.19 billion.
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
The CEO of Goldcorp and his views on Goldcorp shares. Video from Bloomberg.
Click here to watch the video…
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
Maybe the Pope is a FreeGold advocate?
Pope Francis urges global leaders to end ‘tyranny’ of money
Pope Francis has attacked the “dictatorship” of the global financial system and warned that the “cult of money” was making life a misery for millions.
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
A view on Indian gold, by an Indian, inside India.
Even an Indian bureaucrat tries to lie about gold. He apparently hasn’t read his holy text about Arjuna’s one lie. That bureaucrat’s chariot just hit the ground.
Gold fever accelerates, never mind the trade deficit
by Vivek Kaul, firstpost.com
May 13th 2013
The law of demand in economics states that all other things remaining the same, the demand for a good is inversely proportional to its price. So if the price falls, the demand goes up and vice versa. This identity holds on a lot of occasions but not on all occasions.
Allow me to elaborate.
Indian gold and silver imports for the month of April 2013, were at $7.5 billion. This was 138% more than imports during April 2012. This has come across a surprising development for many. “The rise in gold imports is surprising,” Trade Secretary S.R. Rao told reporters at a press conference after the import numbers came out. “It wasn’t expected,” he added.
In fact predictions made by people who follow the gold market closely were exactly the opposite. Mohit Kamboj had told PTI in middle of last month that “the imports of the yellow metal is likely to be 25 percent less than the corresponding month last year as the gold prices are declining steadily.” He has been way off the mark. Kamboj is the President of the Bombay Bullion Association.
So why did Rao find this sudden increase in the import of gold surprising? Or why did Kamboj expect gold imports to fall?
Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
Even as the stock index of Zimbabwe went wild on the upside, there were short but significant and bone jarring reactions downward.
Lack of growth in the Dow reaches dire stage
By Thomas H. Kee Jr.
May 13, 2013, 2:55 p.m. EDT
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been increasing aggressively all year, and investors see no end in sight. The Dow ETF (DIA) is now over $150 and at an all-time high. Arguably, central banks have started to buy equities, and because they tend to be attracted to safer investments, we could surmise that central bank equity investments are targeting the Dow Jones Industrial Average as well. But are they right to do so?
Historically, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has been comprised of safer equity investments, companies capable of weathering substantial hits to the stock market, but more importantly, companies with business models that have been proven to work over time.
Given what we all have known about the DJIA in the past, and what we know about its composition today, we can still agree that the companies that comprise the index are solid companies that are likely to withstand major economic catastrophe, but at a certain point, valuation must come into play. In this specific instance, it is a concern.
As they say, one quarter does not a trend make, so I am going to talk about two consecutive quarters of no growth in the Dow. Both the fourth quarter of 2012 and, thus far, with 25 companies reporting for the first quarter of 2013, the Dow has had no growth for two consecutive quarters.
In this most recent reporting season Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) and Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) had the worst revenue growth rates, with declines of 17.3% and 12.3%, respectively, and in the fourth quarter of 2012, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) led the way with a 24.9% revenue decline from the prior quarter.





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