Jim’s Mailbox

Posted at 11:38 AM (CST) by & filed under Jim's Mailbox.


Here is an important video. Ron Paul pretty much confirms for the record that only half-assed audits have been done. This almost leads to another audit, this time with no partials etc.


Hearing entitled “Investigating the Gold: H.R. 1495, the Gold Reserve Transparency Act of 2011 and the Oversight of United States Gold Holdings”
Thursday, June 23, 2011 2:00 PM in 2128 Rayburn HOB


Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

This is a class comment on yesterday’s government manipulation using, get this, TA.

By Yra

Yesterday, it was such an easy game to play but now the IEA had entered and made it so much harder and it looks as though they’re to stay.

The early morning entry of the IEA into the market pricing of oil has given rise to a slew of conspiracy theories. I care not a damn about the theories but want to analyze the impact of the action and the effect upon the markets. Government actions, no matter how ill-advised, are to be understood and analyzed in the real and potential outcome on world markets.

The Obama Administration has been floating the idea of opening the SPR in an attempt to break the back of financial speculation in the energy and food sectors. It appears that the unilateral move by the Obama Administration would not go down well as many in Congress and elsewhere would have attacked it as an electioneering gimmick to drive down gas pump prices and attack the “locusts” on Wall Street. It seems that the move then became to internationalize the decision by using that “august” body the IEA.

In order to get the major participants to go along I am wondering what deals were made and what potential impact it will have on markets as we go forward. One analyst on TV I think had it very correct: Whoever crafted the action waited until the price of oil was already moving lower and when WTI was at the 200-day moving average, released the announcement so as to get the most price action, as so many long-term traders are geared to that 200-day moving average.

The rationale was that the Libyan crisis had removed 140 million barrels of oil from the market so the supply had to be provided by an international consortium of reserves. A grand alliance and a good headline. Interesting, though, that the U.S. contribution was almost exactly what the BUSH ADMINISTRATION released post-Katrina.

I am not making a statement about the Obama Administration, only trying to understand the market impact. The fact is that POLITICIANS OF ALL LABELS will use whatever tools are at their disposal to maintain power.