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Companies With Mineable Ounces Soundest Investment For Coming Volatility

My Dear Friends,

Today was long and enlightening for me. I made multiple meetings in New York City with significant money managers.

During these meeting the price of gold rose above the $1764 level which I have repeatedly told you is as important as $524.90 was when gold broke out of its arithmetic up trend and entered its first power up trend. I wish to remind you $1764 is the point where gold moves out of its power up trend and enters into its geometric uptrend. I have also assured you the central banks and especially the US Fed via the BIS and Exchange Stabilization Fund seek not to depress gold, but only to prevent it from running so hard on the upside as to expose the true condition of Western world finance.

There has been significant interventions in the gold price at Angel $1764 with unexpected other central bank accumulation resulting in inexplicable strength in the $1710-$1720 area.

As the strong dollar policy is clearly a policy of softening a long term decline, the interventions in gold have been to modify a desire in the market itself to go ballistic on the upside.

If there was any startling realization today it was that among true geniuses and maturity in major money managers there is a grave lack of understanding concerning the forces at work in the financial can kick of the century now about to take place.

Only one person today knows that the war with Iran starts when Iran is frozen out of the Swift system. In terms of finance, that is a nuclear attack. It was just that threat alone that made Swiss banks destroy their tradition of privacy and send their loyal clients to a mass execution, assuming that they were cheating on taxes.

Not one person I spoke to today ever asked themselves who determines if credit event is a default and what that means to the mountain of credit default swaps that US banks have vended via their non US subsidiaries. By this method the count of these OTC derivatives by the US Controller of the Currency is way short of the true amount of debt insurance banks have sold.

Only one man understood what a commodity currency was and had studied where currency induced cost push inflation had produced severe price inflation during periods of awful economic conditions brought on by all types of debt failure.

I am speaking with leaders in finance who control immense sums of money. If these people do not understand the forces at work what makes you think politicians or their college professor appointees to central banks have a better understanding? The answer is simple – they do not!

Let me share with you the conclusion I took away from today’s luncheon.

1. What is going to happen is going to take place in March somewhere between the 14th and 20th in all probability.
2. What will determine the fate of markets is what action China does or does not take in providing funds to IMF bailout funds.
3. I believe China can and will extract significant trade and other benefits for their presence.
4. I believe China will want the same immunity that the IMF just took for themselves on sovereign debt in liquidation.
5. Greek gold will be held hostage to their debt.
6. That will accelerate the modest trend of repatriation of gold for the cellar of the New York Fed to nations like Germany that are certainly able to store their own wealth.
7. There will be an acceleration in the trend of utilization of other currencies than the dollar for contracting internationally regarding goods, service, oil and minerals.
8. I do not agree that we are at the doorstep now of major changes in the international monetary system. That comes in June of 2015.
9. I am certain that we are on the immediate threshold of the monster kick of the financial can down the road that is a dead end.
10. I believe China and the US Fed will assist in that great last can kick that backfires.
11. I am certain that I am in the right business and that business is the identification and accumulation of gold as gold is the ultimate survivor of what is about to happen.
12. I am certain the gold industry is mad as a Danbury hatter in selling their product the moment they produce it.
13. I am certain the gold and silver industry is in a transition back to the dividend producers they once were.
14. I am certain that the volatility in gold, silver and equities we have already seen is nothing compared to what is about to happen.
15. The last man standing among asset categories as the new monetary system is introduced sometime post June of 2015 will be gold and gold alone.

Therefore the soundest investment now is what I, and others (McEwen) are doing in building companies whose inventories of goods to be sold are mineable ounces of gold and other precious metals in the ground moving towards production.

The immense shorts in this industry group are whacked out noobies without a clue.

New mines need never pollute. Old mines can never be cleaned up. Open pit and surface enrichment is the type of gold that will be least effected by rising costs.

Respectfully,
Jim

In The News Today

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Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Here is a BBC investigative special

How Goldman Sachs Helped Mask Greece’s Debt

Ellis Martin Report: Jim Sinclair-Value Buying in a Sideways Market and While Wall Street is Stimulated, Main Street is Forlorn

Dear CIGAs,

The following is the written version of an interview I did with Ellis Martin of www.EllisMartinReport.com today. Click the link at the bottom of the article to read the full transcript.

TEMR:  Join me know for a candid interview with America’s preeminent expert on precious metals, commodities and foreign currencies, Jim Sinclair.  Mr. Sinclair is the President of sponsor, Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corporation, trading on the Amex division of the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol TRX. Tanzanian Royalty focuses primarily on gold assets strategically located in the Lake Victoria Greenstone Belt of Tanzania, one of the most prolific gold producing regions in the world. The company acquired a 55% interest in the advanced stage Buckreef Gold Mine development project which could see commercial production in 2014. Previously to helming Tanzanian Royalty, Mr. Sinclair was the founder of the Sinclair Group of Companies which offered brokerage services in stocks, bonds, et cetera, operating in New York, Chicago, Kansas City, Toronto, London and Geneva.   He was an advisor to Hunt Oil and the Hunt family from 1981 through 1984 for the liquidation of their silver position as a prerequisite for the $1 billion loan arranged by former Fed Chairman, Paul Volker. Mr. Sinclair was a general partner and member of the executive committee of two New York Stock Exchange firms and the President of a commodity clearing firm as well as Global Arbitrage, a derivative dealer in metals and currencies. And, we’re pleased to have him as a weekly guest on The Ellis Martin Report.  What do you want to talk about today Jim?

Jim Sinclair:    We have had key developments in terms of form of settlement nearing in terms of your Greece situation. That has impact on to what is its mechanism and what will that mechanism mean to the general markets as well as equities and the gold market. The announcement of the Chinese of their interest in being part of a euro plan and that demonstrating the IMFs both desire and intention to bring in outside funds in an ongoing supply of liquidity. We also have a great deal of opinions being given on the dollar versus the euro and the implications of some form of resolution even if that resolution eventually includes Greece leaving the European Union. So, there are many subjects that we could approach. I’ll leave it to yourself Ellis.

TEMR: If Greece does leave the European Union it’s something that perhaps the euro can withstand?

Jim Sinclair: You know, let’s look at it and let’s just think about it. What would the euro be without Greece? Would it be weaker or stronger? And, there really is an argument that all other things being even, and that’s a big mouthful, but all other things being even that the euro would in fact be stronger without Greece because of the nature of the Greek population. I mean, when the Department of Finance goes on strike that’s got to tell you something. It’s not an easy problem to fix. So, there’s a strong possibility that general opinion once again has it backwards Because general opinion would say, oh my goodness, if they’re cut down to a 70% maybe no default and Greece voluntarily and in an orderly way exits the euro that’s not so good because look it’s taking away from what the currency unit is and it might start others thinking the same way. I think the real answer to that is that if today Greece was not part of the euro and liquidity had been injected into the system to overcome the impact of the final resolve of what Greek debt is worth be that 30% or zero the euro would be stronger not weaker. And, again that’s something that should be given good consideration. But, the problem goes beyond Greece, I mean, if everything remained equal. It’s very hard for us to accept that one nation in a union would get treatment as Greece has and that more strict requirements would be executed in let’s say Spain, Portugal, Italy, et cetera. So, we’re going to have a continuing drama. But, I think that the near-term resolve of that drama is a combination of liquidity, which is good for the general equities market and also good for gold. We’ve been on that subject over the last couple of weeks and it seems to be holding up to a degree. I mean, right now you have the dollar, as we said, is in an oversold condition but that there was significant supply between 80 and 82 on the USDX. And, the relationship generally would be, well, if the dollars’ going to firm then gold should weaken. I think we’re going to look at that in degrees. I think there might be less of a degree of that relationship rather than more. I think that’s really being demonstrated now even though gold is technically negative on the short-term and the dollar has not yet really established a confirmed positive breakout from the recent decline. I think that the relationship is going to be a little less super glued than it was before. So, generally, I don’t join in those that are very concerned about the equities market except for short reaction, general equities. And, as far as gold is concerned I think the real range will be $1,700.00 to $2,110.00. But, right now it’s $1,650.00 to $1,764.00 where bull camp and the bear camp stand.

Click here to read the full interview…

The Golden Angels

Sinclair32

My Dear Friends,

The Angel at $1764 is very real, not only as a price magnet, but in implications of surpassing it for a second time.

Expect a war at Angel $1764. Expect it to be surpassed in time.

The gold bears are bonkers. The ones that know it has much higher price objectives are the craziest.

Why trade your anchor against the wind in the storm of centuries?

Respectfully,
Jim

In The News Today

In proportion to the extent that commerce assumed definite control of the State, money became more and more of a God whom all had to serve and bow down to. Heavenly Gods became more and more old fashioned and were laid away in the corners to make room for the worship of mammon. And thus began a period of utter degeneration which became specially pernicious because it set in at a time when the nation was more than ever in need of an exalted idea, for a critical hour was threatening.
- Mein Kampf

Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

I do not know about you guys but I could use a laugh.

Compliments of CIGA Bill C.

DOG FOR SALE:

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A guy is driving around the back woods of Montana and he sees a sign in front of a broken down shanty-style house: ‘Talking Dog For Sale ‘He rings the bell and the owner appears and tells him the dog is in the backyard.

The guy goes into the backyard and sees a nice looking Labrador retriever sitting there.

‘You talk?’ he asks.

‘Yep,’ the Lab replies.

After the guy recovers from the shock of hearing a dog talk, he says ‘So, what’s your story?’

The Lab looks up and says, ‘Well, I discovered that I could talk when I was pretty young. I wanted to help the government, so I told the CIA.

In no time at all they had me jetting from country to country, sitting in rooms with spies and world leaders, because no one figured a dog would be eavesdropping.’

‘I was one of their most valuable spies for eight years running…

But the jetting around really tired me out, and I knew I wasn’t getting any younger so I decided to settle down. I signed up for a job at the airport to do some undercover security, wandering near suspicious characters and listening in. I uncovered some incredible dealings and was awarded a batch of medals.’

‘I got married, had a mess of puppies, and now I’m just retired.’

The guy is amazed. He goes back in and asks the owner what he wants for the dog.

‘Ten dollars,’ the guy says.

‘Ten dollars? This dog is amazing! Why on earth are you selling him so cheap?’

‘Because he’s full of crap. He’s never been out of the yard’

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Iran Warns of Pre-Emptive Action in Nuclear Dispute
By ALAN COWELL
February 21, 2012

LONDON — As tension grew in its nuclear dispute with the West, Iran was reported on Tuesday to have struck an increasingly bellicose tone, warning that it would take pre-emptive action against perceived foes if it felt its national interests were threatened.

The warning by the deputy head of its armed forces, quoted by a semi-official news agency, came as Tehran also appeared to place limits on a visit by a team of United Nations nuclear officials, saying the investigators would not go to nuclear facilities, despite earlier reports that its members had sought permission to inspect a military complex outside Tehran.

Growing tensions over Iran’s disputed nuclear program have provoked speculation that Israel may be contemplating a military strike against nuclear facilities, which Tehran says are for peaceful purposes but which the West suspects are inching toward the capability to produce nuclear weapons.

Without mentioning Israel directly, Mohammed Hejazi, the deputy armed forces head, said on Tuesday: “Our strategy now is that if we feel our enemies want to endanger Iran’s national interests, and want to decide to do that, we will act without waiting for their actions,” Reuters reported. Divisions in Iran’s leadership make it difficult to interpret the government’s intentions, but the statement showed a new level of aggressiveness in Iran’s rhetoric.

More…

 

Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Factor this into the constant drop in dollar utilization in international trade.

Note the fund is Yuan backed.

China sets up fund to bankroll takeovers

Boasting $3.2 trillion in foreign currency reserves, China has created a new fund aimed at financing takeover bids abroad. The fund also seeks to boost China’s currency in global financial markets.

In its drive to step up overseas investment, the Chinese government has set up a new fund worth 12 billion yuan ($1.9 billion), Shanghai International Group said in a statement Friday.

Shanghai International said it was responsible for running the fund, describing it as China’s "biggest ever fund of its kind."

"The yuan-backed fund will help domestic companies go abroad in seeking more investment opportunities," China’s central bank deputy governor Liu Shiyu was quoted by the official Shanghai Daily newspaper as saying.

The fund is planned to grow to 50 billion yuan, and can be boosted to 150 billion yuan through loans and bond issues.

Apart from financing overseas acquisitions, it is also intended to promote greater use of the Chinese currency yuan – also known as renminbi – in foreign transactions.

More…

 

Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

A good way to accelerate the demise of those pensioners – work them all to death.

For boomers, it’s a new era of ‘work til you drop’
By JOHN ROGERS
Feb 20, 4:26 PM EST

LOS ANGELES (AP) — When Paula Symons joined the U.S. workforce in 1972, typewriters in her office clacked nonstop, people answered the telephones and the hot new technology revolutionizing communication was the fax machine.

Symons, fresh out of college, entered this brave new world thinking she’d do pretty much what her parents’ generation did: Work for just one or two companies over about 45 years before bidding farewell to co-workers at a retirement party and heading off into her sunset years with a pension.

Forty years into that run, the 60-year-old communications specialist for a Wisconsin-based insurance company has worked more than a half-dozen jobs. She’s been laid off, downsized and seen the pension disappear with only a few thousand dollars accrued when it was frozen.

So, five years from the age when people once retired, she laughs when she describes her future plans.

"I’ll probably just work until I drop," she says, a sentiment expressed, with varying degrees of humor, by numerous members of her age group.

Like 78 million other U.S. Baby Boomers, Symons and her husband had the misfortune of approaching retirement age at a time when stock market crashes diminished their 401(k) nest eggs, companies began eliminating defined benefit pensions in record numbers and previously unimagined technical advances all but eliminated entire job descriptions from travel agent to telephone operator.

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Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

A new more transparent Fed?

FED Writes Sweeping Rules From Behind Closed Doors
By VICTORIA MCGRANE And JON HILSENRATH

The Federal Reserve has operated almost entirely behind closed doors as it rewrites the rule book governing the U.S. financial system, a stark contrast with its push for transparency in its interest-rate policies and emergency-lending programs.

While many Americans may not realize it, the Fed has taken on a much larger regulatory role than at any time in history. Since the Dodd-Frank financial overhaul became law in July 2010, the Fed has held 47 separate votes on financial regulations, and scores more are coming. In the process it is reshaping the U.S. financial industry by directing banks on how much capital they must hold, what kind of trading they can engage in and what kind of fees they can charge retailers on debit-card transactions.

The Fed is making these sweeping changes—the most dramatic since the Great Depression—almost completely without public meetings. Rather than discussing rules and voting in public, as is done at other agencies with which the Fed often collaborates, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the Fed’s four other governors have held just two public meetings since July 2010. On 45 of 47 of the draft or final regulatory measures during that period, they have emailed their votes to the central bank’s secretary.

The votes, in turn, weren’t publicly disclosed until last week, after The Wall Street Journal requested the information for this article. On Feb. 14, for the first time, the Fed posted on its website the names of the Fed governors voting for or against each closed-door regulatory action on Dodd-Frank since July 2010, when that law was enacted.

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Jim’s Mailbox

Jim,

If they can’t take delivery at the COMEX, where does China buy its incremental quantity of gold, now? Who are the sellers? Is it from the acquisition of mines internationally? Why doesn’t this increase Gold share prices then?

Thank you, CIGA Christopher

Christopher,

No sovereign nation, most certainly China, would be so stupid

Continue reading Jim’s Mailbox

In The News Today

Sathyam Vada, Dharmam Chara –Ciga I

 

My Dear Friends,

China is spending $25 billion on iron ore in Africa. The West will have no interest until China controls the greatest bread basket for both minerals and food.

How damn dumb can Western leaders be? Volcker won it all. Greenspan gave it all back.

Continue reading In The News Today

Jim’s Mailbox

Jim,

I reviewed this today and feel it might be a good reminder and item to review for the family.

www.jsmineset.com/2011/11/14/keynote-speech-at-sydney-gold-symposium-14-15-november-2011-by-alf-field/

In deepest appreciation !! CIGA Eddie